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Mortgage Crisis Analysis |
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What Caused The Mortgage Crisis? |
What caused the mortgage crisis? If you ask most consumers they will say, “Greedy mortgage brokers that made bad
loans to good people”. Perhaps they did play a part in the chain of destruction that America is in today, but they
were only one link in a very long chain. The truth is, the mortgage crisis was facilitated by consumer demand,
ignorant politicians, spineless banks, and yes, the small brokers and lenders. All of these institutions lacked the
“moxy“ to stick to sound underwriting principles in the face of tough competition spurred by escalating property
values and a good economy.
I give you the anatomy of a mortgage. There used to be three types of mortgages: Government (FHA); Conforming
(Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac); and private subprime lenders, which were mainly owned and funded by the larger banks,
operating under a different a name. Each one of these lenders established guidelines that outlined the terms in
which they would “buy” the loan from the small brokers after the loan closed. Every program had a different set of
guidelines that catered to a different segment of the market. That market included people with good or bad credit,
and consumers that could or could not prove their income.
Once the loans closed with the smaller brokers, the large banks (i.e. Chase, Bank of America, and Countrywide)
would buy these loans. They would then arrange these loans into portfolios by a risk class and were earmarked to be
sold on Wall Street. Once these portfolios reached a certain dollar amount, the large banks would sell them to
investors so they could replenish their lending capital. Each of these portfolios was priced and sold according to
their perceived performance and default rates.
Portfolios that were not insured by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac or FHA were the sub-prime loans, which would fetch
lower prices on the open market, due to their higher default rates. The problem is, these sub-prime portfolios were
over-valued because their value was dependent on skyrocketing land values. Meaning, if the large banks loaned money
on a home and had to foreclose, chances are that house was worth more than the money they loaned on the house.
Therefore, the portfolios were considered a lower risk, and as a result, over-priced.
Here’s the rub...
The investors on Wall Street treated these portfolios as assets to leverage capital (borrow money on) for other
investments with hopes of selling the mortgage portfolios in the future for a profit. When the proverbial bubble
burst in the housing market, houses stopped increasing in value and began depreciating. This meant the mortgage
portfolio that was once worth $10 million was now only worth $8 million, due to the rising default rates and a
market slow down. When the market slowed down, investors stopped buying mortgage portfolios and the companies left
holding them were in deep water. Not only couldn’t they sell their portfolios, they couldn't afford to take the
loss on them if they did.
Welcome to the subprime mortgage crisis.
Now that the “big boys” on Wall Street couldn’t sell these mortgage portfolios, the flow of money came to a
screeching halt. This meant that the large banks couldn’t raise money to loan as well. Which, in turn, stopped the
smaller lenders from selling their loans to the larger banks. This bankrupted the smaller lenders and dried up
resources for brokers aggravating an already unstable mortgage market.
Through all of this, Fannie and Freddie (former government programs that privatized) were taking major hits on the
loans they had insured , due to market conditions. Unlike FHA, which is backed by the government, Freddie and
Fannie relied heavily on the ability to push and pull money on their portfolios in the market as well, thus the
bail-out.
So, the next time you hear an “expert” on TV, (who probably can’t spell m-o-r-t-g-a-g-e), blaming the small brokers
and lenders for the mortgage mess, just remember this chain of events:
The land values drove investors. Investors demanded money. Large banks supplied the money. The huge demand for
money led to lower rates. Lower rates encouraged builders. Builders borrowed money from the large banks. Builders
employed architects, surveyors, lumber companies, paint companies, subcontractors and real estate companies to
build and sell their products.
Real estate agents turned to small lenders and brokers to get their clients financed because of poor service from
the large banks' retail end. Small brokers began to compete for market share. This increased the demand for “retail
money”, for which they looked to the large banks. This created competition between the large banks for the retail
money market.
This competition caused each of the large banks to create niche products that had lower underwriting guidelines for
brokers and small lenders, their de facto retail outlets. These lower standards are what created the sub-prime
market, which was mostly owned by the large banks. Then the large banks paid lobbyists, who paid politicians to
look the other way, who in essence were fiddling while Rome was burning.
Aubrey Clark is an Author and editor for Direct Banc, which features a credit card with airmiles directory. Aubrey
is a financial expert who has spent over twenty years working and training in financial markets. His current
project is an airline miles credit card tutorial for business travelers.
Aubrey Clark
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